CONSTRUCTION SPENDING JUMPS IN MARCH (05/06/2009)

Construction Spending Jumps in March

Summary


Private nonresidential construction spending unexpectedly increased 2.7 percent in March, according to the May 4 report by the U.S. Census Bureau. On a year-over-year basis, private nonresidential construction spending is up 1.2 percent. Overall, total nonresidential construction spending increased 2.0 percent on the month to $703.8 billion, up 1.7 percent from March 2008 (see graph below).

Construction subsectors posting the largest gains include power plants, up 8.9 percent, and lodging, up 5.2 percent. Meanwhile, manufacturing construction saw the largest increase in a year-over-year basis and is up 63.9 percent followed by power construction, up 15.2 percent.

In contrast, among the four subsectors posting decreases in spending is religious construction, down 9.0 percent. Those construction subsectors with the largest losses from a year ago include communication, down 33.5 percent, commercial, down 20.5 percent and religious construction spending down 11.1 percent.

Public nonresidential construction spending increased 1.2 percent for the month and is up 2.5 percent from the same time last year. However, residential construction spending dropped 4.1 percent from February and is down 33.3 percent on a year-over-year basis. Overall, total construction spending was up 0.3 percent from February and is down 11.1 percent from March 2008.

What This Means 

“Searching for ‘green shoots’ has become a major preoccupation for economists in recent weeks,” said Associated Builders and Contractors (ABC) Chief Economist Anirban Basu. “The term was used by Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke during a recent television interview and refers generally to early indications of economic stabilization. Since that time, economists have identified a number of ‘green shoots,’ including consumer spending, durable goods orders and financial market performance. 

“The latest data regarding total nonresidential construction spending represents another ‘green shoot.’ It shows movement consistent with capital market thawing and a re-expansion of credit availability, at least for certain types of construction activities,” added Basu.

“As the stimulus package continues to deliver more impact with the passage of time, it is likely that infrastructure-related construction – including power, transportation and water supply – will progress even as less directly-impacted segments, such as office and commercial, struggle to generate monthly or annual gains,” stated Basu.




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